Let’s Do the Numbers

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In the article FP Stands Ready for Statewide Shift to Capitation Model Lynda Dolan, M.D., of Hilo, Hawaii, “thinks that fear is a vestige of the HMO era, when reimbursements were tightly controlled and physicians were restricted by rigid authorization processes.” Oh, no, that’s not going to happen again.  Are you kidding me?  Reimbursements not tightly controlled? Rigid authorization processes to go away?  This is the lifeblood of the insurers.  That is how they make their money.  The article goes on to say:

Dolan, whose practice consists of two family physicians and 2,000 patients, was one of the first in the state to participate in a pilot program to test the new model. The practice, which also employs two medical assistants and a physician assistant, is in a semirural area of the island of Hawaii that has one hospital, a university and a community college.

HMSA, a Blue Cross vendor, began its foray into capitated payments with 10 physicians in 2010 through a $16 million grant program. Practices were paid $4 per member, per month, but this amount proved insufficient.

“We still had to see a bunch of patients in order to make money, so it was a treadmill,” Dolan recalled.

By 2014, HMSA moved to a more aggressive approach that gave practices more flexibility and higher monthly payments — between $18 and $27 per member, per month. Practices also negotiated to exclude immunizations from the monthly payment to account for fluctuation in the price of vaccines.

So, let’s get this straight.  Two family docs, two medical assistants, a PA and an unlisted amount of staff are now getting paid on average $22.50 per patient and they have 2000 patients.  For 12 months they are getting $540,000 for the year.  Don’t forget the overhead to run the place, including all that staff, and how much are these docs pulling in?  Dr. Dolan, I recommend standing down.

This is not even counting the rules in playing the insurer’s game:

As part of the transition, Dolan said she learned to revise billing habits, delegate more to staff, communicate with patients outside of office visits and expand job descriptions. For instance, the medical assistants were trained to work with patients to reconcile their medications, and a part-time staff member took over scheduling and some IT tasks.

New population health metrics means more work for staff but also bring in more revenue, so when the insurer asks Dolan to track a new performance measurement, such as body mass index, the team discusses how to add it into the daily workflow.

Does any of that seem worth it?  If I am wrong on these numbers please tell me.  I really am perplexed by this. If I am correct that then I have an idea for Dr. Dolan.  Lose the insurer, practice the way you always wanted to, ignore the unproven metrics and run a DPC practice.  And make more money, too.