Garbage In, Garbage Out from the AANP

Don’t you just love statistics? It’s funny when groups use them to dazzle people. Legislators eat it up, especially when it comes from the AANP. Here is a great example that was shared by the group Patients for Patient Protection with us:

April N. Kapu, DNP, APRN has said that after FPA (Full Practice Authority), the number of NPs in rural areas increased in Arizona by 73%. (I am not going into detail about this misrepresentation, the details are in our rebuttal, suffice to say the data actually do not say that.). I recognized some interesting data. Here it is:

Between 2002 and 2013, in the 12 years after FPA, when rural shortages were supposed to be cured by all the NPs running to underserved areas, here is what actually happened. In that period there were 1556 new NPs in Arizona. How many went to the seriously underserved “isolated small rural areas”? (envelope please).

Seven.

Of 1556.

And the number of NPs/100k in isolated small rural has gone from 19 to 24.

While, in the urban areas, this number went from 30 to 51.2. Shall I point out the gap in 2002 was (30-19 = 11), and the gap is now (24-51.2= 27.2). The gap has actually more than doubled.

So a question occurred to me. How many NPs needed to move to the isolated small rural areas to equal the NPs/100k of the urban areas. (51.2)?

Only 30 more. Of 1556.

Over 12 years.

Three per year.

And it didn’t happen.

This is a real-world experiment that shows that their claim that NPs will solve rural primary care shortages has no truth behind it. BONUS INFORMATION – for use in another context. The AANP has as one of its stated goals of increasing NP pay to parity with physicians. On the face of it, sounds like they want to help their NPs. Well., we know that most NPs are employed. We know that employers use their market power to depress NP pay to, at times, less than RN pay. So, any increase in reimbursement will come to the employers. This report contains an interesting statistic. Only 6% of the NPs had any ownership in their practice. The remainder are 94%. Who will benefit from raising compensation for NP work? The answer of course is overwhelmingly the employers.

It is clear they are the real constituents of the AANP.

What did Mark Twain or Benjamin Disraeli say about statistics?

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